Every year we try and guess the Oscar® nominations in the 6 major categories: Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor and Best Supporting Actress.
Over the years we have done pretty well in our predictions. Usually we get at least 80% correct. With one year reaching as high as 97% correct. So without further ado……our 2018 Oscar® Nomination Predictions.
*So the nominations are in….we got 88.23% correct.
Best Picture Oscar® Nominee Predictions:
- The Big Sick – thinking this is going to sneak in – 30% chance of nomination. Wrong!
- Call Me By Your Name – will get nominated – 85% chance of nomination. Bingo!
- Dunkirk – has a chance to win – 99% chance of nomination. Bingo!
- The Florida Project – movie has lots of support – 75% chance of nomination. Wrong!
- Get Out – movie might sneak out a win – 90% chance of nomination Bingo!
- Lady Bird – Oscar voters love this movie – 80% chance of nomination. Bingo!
- The Post – – 65% chance of nomination. Bingo!
- The Shape of Water – No doubt – 99% chance of nomination. Bingo!
- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri – No doubt – Bingo
Others that might sneak in: I, Tonya, All The Money in The World, Wonder Woman & Phantom Thread.
Missed on Phanton Menace and Darkest Hour……as I went with The Big Sick and The Florida Project
Score 77.77%
Best Actor Oscar® Nominee Predictions:
- Timothee Chalamet in Call Me By Your Name Bingo!
- Daniel Day-Lewis in Phantom Thread Bingo!
- Daniel Kaluuya in Get Out Bingo!
- Gary Oldman in Darkest Hour Bingo!
- Denzel Washington in Roman J. Israel, Esq. Bingo!
Others that might sneak in: Tom Hanks in The Post, Christian Bale in Hostiles, James Franco* in The Disaster Artist and Jake Gyllenaal in Stronger. * Even though the voting was only two days away from ending when Franco’s issues appeared….not thinking his name will be called on Tuesday.
Perfect Score 100%
Best Actress Oscar® Nominee Predictions:
- Sally Hawkins in The Shape of Water Bingo!
- Frances McDormand in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Bingo!
- Margot Robbie in I, Tonya Bingo!
- Saoirse Ronan in Lady Bird Bingo!
- Meryl Streep in The Post Bingo!
Others that might sneak in: 4 of the 5 spots seemed to be set….with Margot Robbie just edging out Jessica Chastain in Molly’s Game. Michelle Williams in All The Money in the World is another to watch out for on Tuesday morning.
Perfect Score 100%
Best Supporting Actor Oscar® Nominee Predictions:
- William Dafoe in The Florida Project Bingo!
- Woody Harrelson in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Bingo!
- Richard Jenkins in The Shape Of Water Bingo!
- Christopher Plummer in All The Money in The Word Bingo!
- Sam Rockwell in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Bingo!
Others that might sneak in: Armie Hammer in Call Me By Your Name, Idris Elba in Molly’s Game and Michael Stuhlbarg in Call Me By Your Name.
Perfect Score 100%
Best Supporting Actress Oscar® Nominee Predictions:
- Mary J. Blige in Mudbound Bingo!
- Holly Hunter in The Big Sick Bingo!
- Allison Janney in I, Tonya Bingo!
- Laurie Metcalf in Lady Bird Bingo!
- Octavia Spencer in The Shape of Water Bingo!
Others that might sneak in: Hong Chau in Downsizing, Lesley Manville in Phantom Thread and Kristin Scott Thomas in Darkest Hour
Missed on Lesley Manville for Phantom Thread….as I went with Holly Hunter
Perfect Score 80%
Best Director Oscar® Nominee Predictions:
- Greta Gerwig for Lady Bird Bingo!
- Martin McDonagh for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Wrong!
- Christopher Nolan for Dunkirk Bingo!
- Jordan Peele for Get Out Bingo!
- Guillermo del Toro for The Shape of Water Bingo!
Others that might sneak in: Sean Baker for The Florida Project, Steven Spielberg for The Post, Ridley Scott for All The Money In The World and Luca Guadagnino for Call Me By Your Name
Missed on Paul Thomas Anderson for Phantom Thread….as I went with Martin McDonagh
Perfect Score 80%
So based on our previous Oscar® guesses…..about 80% of these will be correct and 20% will be wrong…or 28 right and 7 wrong….find out Tuesday morning when the nominations get announced.
Maybe we should call you Cogeradumus. Nice job on your predictions. Glad Get Out was singled out.
Hey Helakoski…..your comment my me laugh out loud….never been compared to Nostradamus….I am honored…..thanks for the nice words. As for Get Out…I think it has a chance to take home the big prize this year. Good feedback.
Nice job. Impressive predictions.
Thank you SteinHOF 17….glad you stopped by.
I know that we are commenting on Oscar predictions.
However, I would hope that Native American actor Wes Studi gets a nomination for Best Supporting Actor for the film Hostiles. He has been giving extraordinary performances since Dances with Wolves. There has been a lot talk about diversity in the film industry. However, Native American roles (and Mexican Americans, who are also indigenous people as well) are almost non-existent on television or films, even though together, they constitute the largest minority community in the nation.
We have some incredible stories to tell and many talented actors and actresses.
Thank you.
Hey Frank….sadly the production company that owns the rights to Hostiles did a poor job of a Oscar campaign for Christian Bale and Wes Studi…..so I am not thinking Hostiles is going to get any love tomorrow.
My favorite supporting role by an actor of 2017 was Gil Birmingham in Wind River. Birmingham is an American actor of Comanche ancestry….gives a very powerful performance….he only has two extended scenes in the whole movie…..but they really resonated with me. He also has no chance for a nomination.
I agree 100% with you….there are incredible stories to be told. Thanks for the visit and the comment.
Interesting. Many I have not heard of before. Pulling for The Shape of Water. That is a great movie.
Hey Howard. The Shape of Water has been picking up lots of awards……it seems to be gathering up lots of steam. A science fiction movie as Best Picture Oscar winner?….love it! Thanks for stopping by.
Agree with many of these predictions. Not seeing Mudbound getting a Best Picture nod. I think Armie Hammer is going to be nominated. I will see if you hit your 80% later this week.
Hey Shawn. I do acknowledge that Mudbound is a long shot…..but just like the March Madness brackets you got pick some double seeded teams. As for Hammer….I can see him getting nominated…..but who gets pushed out? Tuesday will be interesting.